1) Voter registration. Kentucky, West Virginia, and Arkansas are disproportionately Democratic—that is, when you compare voting preferences with party identification. In Kentucky and West Virginia, the margins are 56-37 and 54-29, respectively. While the Old, Solid South has trended Republican in party ID, Coal Country has remained solidly Democratic. There are plenty of races in Kentucky—particularly in the eastern counties that Obama lost—which are, effectively, decided in the Democratic primaries. Turnout in these races, that is, included many voters who are in practice Republicans.
2) Let me put this in terms of a series of questions, all meant to be read in light of the race question in these primaries (now and in 2008): What do we make of the fact that Obama won Virginia but lost West Virginia? Or that he lost Appalachia overwhelmingly but won Fayette County? Obama does worst not in “The South” but in Southern mountain country specifically. Whether Blue Ridge or Smokies, the history of race in these hills is quite distinct from the history of race in “The South”—by which we typically mean farming country, not mining country. The former is by comparison wealthier and racially more diverse; the latter is (even within Kentucky’s overwhelmingly white demographics) overwhelmingly white and intractably impoverished. Continue reading this post…
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Mad Men Open Thread
by J.L. Wall April 2, 2012I’m building it, so y’all better come visit now, here? I haven’t seen this week’s episode yet, and probably won’t until later this week — there are more important things in the offing today/tonight — so I won’t be looking at comments. But enjoy.